Big nor'easter + big tides tomorrow - Fly Fishing Forum
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Old 12-25-2010, 07:54 AM
Guernseybass Guernseybass is offline
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Exclamation Big nor'easter + big tides tomorrow

i just saw the CBS weather blog which is predicting cat 1 hurricane winds over the 330 am high tides tomorrow..

Fingers crossed here for new structure on south beach
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Old 12-25-2010, 08:02 AM
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Monday looks like the stronger blow, but weather underground is only saying 25-30 mph.

I hope it's twice that!
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Old 12-25-2010, 08:41 AM
Guernseybass Guernseybass is offline
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Sorry guys, I meant Monday not tomorrow.
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Old 12-25-2010, 09:13 AM
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Cool Vectored wind forces and cumulative hydrodynamics...

I'd like nothing more than a serious South Beach breach but...
The forcast calls for sustained, substantial NE winds [aka: Nor'Easter]... the EAST facing beaches [Nauset, etc] will take a beating...

while the SOUTH facing beaches [South Beach] will be spared the full forces of surf and surge...
Regarding South Beach breach...
I suspect we'll have to wait for strong SSE / S / SSW winds of distinction...
Wash-overs are common but sustained cuts are quickly filled in by migrating sand bound for High Bank and points beyond...



One thing for sure... CHANGE...
Mother Nature is in charge and has the phinal say...
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Old 12-27-2010, 08:57 AM
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Coastal Waters From Provincetown Ma To Chatham Ma To Nantucket Ma
Out 20 Nm-

Today
E winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt... becoming NW 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 50 kt late this morning and afternoon. Seas 16 to 21 ft...subsiding to 14 to 19 ft this afternoon. Rain this morning...then snow this afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less...increasing to 1 to 3 nm this afternoon.

Tonight
NW winds 30 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft. A chance of snow in the evening. A chance of light freezing spray after midnight.

Tue
NW winds 30 to 35 kt...diminishing to 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 13 ft...subsiding to 8 to 11 ft in the afternoon. A chance of light freezing spray in the morning.
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Old 12-27-2010, 10:49 AM
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Did we get our South beach post Christmas breach present?
If it wasn't 2 1/2 hrs away..I would be there in a flash to see :-)

Ron
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Old 12-27-2010, 05:35 PM
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NO SUCH LUCK...

Talkin' with an Orleans sage earlier today...
East facing beaches [Marconi, CG] got beat up badly... access stairs gone, major erosion, etc, etc...
South facing beaches [as in South Beach] NOT SO MUCH... a "non-event"... so it goes!?
As the NE-N-NW winds came across the beach, waves were nil and hydraulics needed to start and develop a breach were not present...
Once the dust settles, if I get a chance to venture to Minister's or the Refuge, I'll take some pics...
weshallsee...
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Old 12-27-2010, 06:09 PM
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I'll take a ride out on Nauset to see what's up when I get down there next
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  #9  
Old 12-28-2010, 08:23 AM
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sounded like a pretty good storm either way. I love watching those storms in the winter.
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Old 01-01-2011, 05:15 AM
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Hey Pete, two questions...

1/ Is this The Tub?

2/ Is this you?

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Old 01-01-2011, 08:06 AM
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Stevo...
Regarding #1... yes
#2... NOT so much!
I'm the guy experiencing phrozen phace whilst leaning out the window trying not to drop the camera...
'47 Cessna tailgragger... well seasoned...
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Old 01-01-2011, 08:18 AM
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I was at the Light house yesterday for Chatham first night and saw no significant changes....I was there only during the day to walk around.
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Old 01-01-2011, 01:53 PM
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[QUOTE=Penguin]Stevo...
Regarding #1... yes
#2... NOT so much!
I'm the guy experiencing phrozen phace whilst leaning out the window trying not to drop the camera...
'47 Cessna tailgragger... well seasoned...


Ahh, I see now, so long as it's only your phace that's phrozen and not your phericles!
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Old 01-03-2011, 10:20 AM
Guernseybass Guernseybass is offline
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Two more storms on the way - Friday and the 11th, which could be a biggie with sw winds.
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Old 01-03-2011, 10:47 AM
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The new Nauset cut and the south end of North Island have changed noticeably, and Big Girl has changed dramatically as it always does even between tides but looking to the south I could not see much change as John has pointed out. A long walk might reveal something more. I'm sure we'll see a cut happen just a matter of when not if... might be a week or a decade who knows.

I know one thing, happy times will be back to the refuge that summer!
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