At time of this post, note the distinct offshore warm water upwelling over 600ft depths off the outer Long Island coast. No doubt there is plenty of spawing going (or having finished) on the the south where the color change moves up a scale and the cooler green colors are actually in the mid-60's.
I was talking to some one the other day who postulaed that warm water brings up the small fish, but the big ones sched is determined by spawning/season. That's why the schoolies alway seem to precede the bigger fish.
There is a huge meander in the GulfStream. It has turned into a giant warm eddy and it is very close to the coast. I wonder what this means for the blue water fishermen?
Yep - according to all the biological reports I've read the spawners natural stay in their natal waters until the water temps reach the optimal levels around 60 deg to do their deed and then swim up the coast afterwards; where the pre-spawning aged fish have no reason to stay back until later on. Coincidentally (or by nature's design) the bait is on queue as well and the seasonal cycle of life surges upon our region like the semidiurnal tides bringing the striper and other gamefish biomass onto our doorsteps. Life is good.
Coincidentally, the 600ft line is narrowly parallel to the 6000ft line which I assume marks the edge of the continental shelf and the warm currents (when zoomed out) clearly shunt northward along that oceanic ridge. I am sure pelagic species are keyed in on this, but until I regain my long lost footing on a fiberglas deck I will remain a student of the sand.
At the moment (5-16) the Chatham area in in a bit of a cold pocket while the mid-cape west is looking very good as is the bayside for surface temps. Most everything to the southwest is prime, RI and CT seem to be in a good temp zone and New York bight is good now as well...
So as far as temps go, the week of SW winds should put us in the groove; large biomass of bait and migratory stripers should theoretically be in our lap this weekend.
Paired with the fact that things already are well underway and got started early this year it should be on queue. I think watching this temp shift over the next few days will be a decent indicator.
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