It all depends on water temps! And there is no reliable way to tell by sitting at the computer!
Make sure that you are counting this years run- based on the '04 counts you can safely go by 5/1 for Bonn and 5/28 for John Day. Normal passage, with water temps under 72F, between the two dams runs in the 2 to 4 week range. If the river boils they will all but stop moving. If this year is like the past several, expect that there will be at least 200K steelhead holed up in the Bonn pool and almost half of those will 'disappear'.
For what it is worth, the JD counts are whacky- I don't even bother to look at the dam anymore. Over the past several years it seems that there are nearly the same number of fish counted over it and the Dalles. Maybe the Dalles is undercounting???
The conversion rate between Bonn and the Dalles is running as high as I can recall (or research) for this early in the season. It also looks like most of the fish are scooting towards Idaho.
Anytime you are getting over a 1000 fish/day over the dams you are bound to find a couple in the tribs!
Last edited by inland; 07-07-2003 at 12:07 AM.