That's a great source, Hal - the farmers. That's like believing in woodchucks ("groundhogs" if they are forecasters) for length of winter!
The farmers always have a rough time. Either drought or floods. Not knocking their ability, but I don't think forecasting weather is one of them.
I realize that things are very dry in the midwest, but here, near Lake Ontario, we are getting more than our share. (22 degrees out, and snowing - yet!)
When I went trib fishing on a forecast "nice day" (lousy forecast) earlier this week, big flocks of ROBINS were feeding at the road's edge, where the snow had melted (from the salt). I could either believe that they were a sign of early spring (fat chance), or suicidal (more probable)!