South Beach Predictions [Archive] - Fly Fishing Forum

: South Beach Predictions


juro
05-27-2004, 11:25 AM
I will not be able to chase my striped buddies this weekend, so I might as well have some fun by guessing the events of the weekend where I usually lay footprints.

It's a dull tide with an early afternoon low, plus .6 - but with the migratory mayhem of late things should be a poppin'

The majority of spring smiles will come from those who stand at the edge of the drop-off at low tide on the inside blind casting, and as Keith says there should be some pigs in the mix.

At dead low why not, but it's too bad that the way most people fish between tides they'd be better off at Buzzards Bay or Bass River, Pleasant Bay or Morris Island instead of choking off the lanes where fish would gladly come over the flats were they not standing in the way. There should be a sign "Sight Fishing Only" on the flats. Rant over ;) :hehe:

Winds SE turning NW thru Sat, 20-25 so it's going to push water around but not too much on the southside. Bayside will be breezy. Water will still be cold on the flood. Fish will be concentrated as they were the last three weeks but will move at the same time they moved and if you know when where the sight fishing in the expected high ambient light should be phenomenal as the numbers and size have increased.

Most years huge rafts of sand eels show about this time of May and if they do the numbers of feeding stripers and new blue arrivals are staggering. If we get a sand eel report from Keith it's going to be mayhem. Some years later, some years earlier but right around this time.

Migration is in full tilt, that's all I will say about that.

More flies will be lost to blues this weekend.

Starting off the day, I would be very cautious about wading too deep especially on South Beach. Most people stomp right out where stripers are happily finning and the morning high tide is a special time for bigger fish to be roving right up against the grass.

If the sand eels are in it could get silly.

Afternoon flood - my guess is that when Rip Ryder is coming on it's pickup run those who are watching the flat will make Keith wait for them to get their fish in. Wind blowing overland, second flood tide over heated flats, pushing of tub water and lots of fish... the afternoon should be on fire.

Good luck I wish I could do it but obligations will prohibit it. Be gentle on them, I will be there all week :devil:

Oh and Atlantis users - the beach just might be out of control like the clave weekend, but you know the mix has changed in favor of bending the big rods :smokin:

BigDave
05-27-2004, 12:18 PM
Originally posted by juro


At dead low why not, but it's too bad that the way most people fish between tides they'd be better off at Buzzards Bay or Bass River, Pleasant Bay or Morris Island instead of choking off the lanes where fish would gladly come over the flats were they not standing in the way. There should be a sign "Sight Fishing Only" on the flats. Rant over ;) :hehe:



Amen brother! Why go to SB at all if you're going to stand chest deep on the edge and choke the fish off the flats for everyone else? This shouldn't be a secret by now.

I thought it picked up big time last Sunday and am expecting this to continue through the weekend. Might just avoid SB entirely unless the sun comes out (yah right:rolleyes: ). I'm sure the dropoffs will be busy to say the least!

jimS
05-27-2004, 01:38 PM
should be awesome, moon tides and early lows. See ya on the flats!

Simms